I'm beginning to do some exploratory data analysis with 2024 Big Data Bowl (BDB) data. This year's theme is tackling; creating metrics or visualizations that will help explain tackling in the NFL.

One early thought I had was if a defensive player's arm length, hand size, and bench press (bench press is an indicator of grip strength) numbers have any correlation with better tackling percentages. I haven't figured out a good way yet to measure the effectiveness of a tackler, so I just did a basic "(opportunities - missed tackles)/opportunities" percentage for a simple measure of a tackler's effectiveness.

I pulled the tackle data from the Big Data Bowl website and got combine data for the 2017-2022 NFL Drafts from Steelers Depot, one of the most comprehensive NFL Combine data sources. We're allowed to use any publicly available dataset so these (somewhat incomplete) Combine results would have to do.

I needed to do some data cleaning on the Combine data to standardize it and make things like arm length (32 3/8") plottable (32.375). Then I paired it by player name and linked it to the tackle data provided by BDB. The heatmap above was simply created by uploading a spreadsheet into GPT-4's Advanced Data Analysis tool and asking for a correlation matrix visualization. 

The quick answer to my question is below:

• No physical measurement from Combine data is highly correlated with the tackle made percentage, although arm length and vertical jump are the highest at 0.03. They're all basically 0.

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Then I asked GPT-4 for the top 20 correlations and what they mean, sorted by absolute value (so highly positive or negative correlations are ranked high), the info below is copied and pasted from it. There were some interesting (and obvious) pairs that emerged:

The top 20 correlation pairs, ranked by absolute value, are as follows:

1. **10 YD and 40 YD**: Correlation of 0.92 indicates a very strong positive relationship. Faster 10-yard dash times likely mean faster 40-yard dash times.

2. **SS and 3C**: Correlation of 0.89 indicates a strong positive relationship. Better scores in the Short Shuttle likely mean better scores in the 3-Cone Drill.

3. **Weight and 40 YD**: Correlation of 0.85 suggests that as weight increases, the 40-yard dash time also likely increases.

4. **BJ and 40 YD**: Correlation of -0.82 indicates a strong negative relationship. Better Broad Jump scores likely mean faster 40-yard dash times.

5. **10 YD and BJ**: Correlation of -0.82 shows that better 10-yard dash times likely mean better Broad Jump scores.

6. **40 YD and 3C**: Correlation of 0.81 indicates a strong positive relationship. Faster 40-yard dash times likely mean better 3-Cone Drill scores.

7. **10 YD and Weight**: Correlation of 0.81 suggests that as weight increases, the 10-yard dash time also likely increases.

8. **BJ and VJ**: Correlation of 0.80 shows a strong positive relationship. Better Broad Jump scores likely mean better Vertical Jump scores.

9. **SS and 40 YD**: Correlation of 0.77 indicates a strong positive relationship. Better Short Shuttle scores likely mean faster 40-yard dash times.

10. **3C and Weight**: Correlation of 0.77 suggests that as weight increases, the 3-Cone Drill score likely increases.

11. **VJ and 10 YD**: Correlation of -0.77 indicates a strong negative relationship. Better Vertical Jump scores likely mean faster 10-yard dash times.

12. **SS and Weight**: Correlation of 0.76 suggests that as weight increases, the Short Shuttle score likely increases.

13. **10 YD and 3C**: Correlation of 0.74 shows a strong positive relationship. Faster 10-yard dash times likely mean better 3-Cone Drill scores.

14. **VJ and 40 YD**: Correlation of -0.73 indicates a strong negative relationship. Better Vertical Jump scores likely mean faster 40-yard dash times.

15. **ARM and Height**: Correlation of 0.73 shows a strong positive relationship. Taller height likely means longer arm length.

16. **225 BENCH and Weight**: Correlation of 0.71 indicates that as weight increases, the 225 Bench Press score likely increases.

17. **10 YD and SS**: Correlation of 0.70 shows a strong positive relationship. Faster 10-yard dash times likely mean better Short Shuttle scores.

18. **3C and VJ**: Correlation of -0.69 indicates a strong negative relationship. Better 3-Cone Drill scores likely mean better Vertical Jump scores.

19. **3C and BJ**: Correlation of -0.68 shows a strong negative relationship. Better 3-Cone Drill scores likely mean better Broad Jump scores.

20. **SS and BJ**: Correlation of -0.68 indicates a strong negative relationship. Better Short Shuttle scores likely mean better Broad Jump scores.

[After seeing Vitalik Buterin's reflections on his two-month retreat experiment with 200 people working on the Ethereum community, it brought to mind "missions" like Reid Hoffman mentions in his book The Alliance — lower stakes Manhattan Projects maybe — as well as how different missions are what makes the story of James Bond so interesting and evergreen.

So I asked GPT-4 to write a 4000 word blog post based on a transcription of a 4 minute ramble on my thoughts. But unlike other essays like this, I did NOT tell it to emulate any writer in particular AND I specifically told it to not have chunked paragraphs with separate ideas and titles. I like how it turned out, even if it could be improved]

In the vast landscape of pop culture, some franchises stand the test of time, capturing imaginations across generations. Take Star Wars or Star Trek; their futuristic worlds give creators the liberty to continuously reinvent scenarios because the possibilities of the future are limitless. Then, there are franchises grounded in our present-day world, like the James Bond series, which offer a different but equally compelling allure. Created by Ian Fleming and immortalized through a succession of films dating back to the '60s, James Bond has been an iconic figure played by various actors over the years. The character's durability doesn't just attest to good storytelling or cinematic prowess; it taps into something fundamental about our society and what fascinates us continually. James Bond's role as an international spy is meticulously designed for maximal intrigue—hunting down villains, navigating moral complexities, and embodying a certain aspirational charisma.

The longevity and profitability of the James Bond franchise, handled by the Broccoli family, says a lot about what keeps audiences coming back. Bond's life, on the surface, may seem like pure escapism: the exotic locations, the adventurous missions, the villains and their grandiose schemes. But at its core, James Bond is about the struggle between good and evil, an elemental concept that resonates with us because we live it every day. Most of us aim to do good, strive to maintain world order, and hope for prosperity. Bond's characterization may not include a traditional family or domestic aspirations, but it certainly highlights the quest for global stability and ethical integrity, principles that are universally appealing.

One fascinating aspect of the Bond character and his world is the notion of missions—specific, high-stakes assignments in various global locations. While this idea is familiar from military and special forces narratives, its single-agent focus in the Bond films makes it especially captivating. It propels the imagination toward an intriguing model for the future of work, a future where the concept of "missions" could be applied far beyond international espionage or military intervention. 

The film's portrayal of James Bond may, in some sense, be predictive. Think about how we could adapt this concept of missions to fit other professions. Software developers, CEOs, artists, or experts in any number of fields could take on short-term projects in various parts of the world, much like Bond. For instance, a group of professionals might embark on a three-month stint in Berlin to launch a software startup. Or a team of creatives could head to South Korea with the aim of breaking the next big K-pop act. These "missions" would not only offer the allure of exotic locales but also the challenge and excitement of short-term, high-impact work.

It's an extension of what Vitalik Buterin, the founder of Ethereum, did when he convened 200 people for a two-month exploration into advancements in cryptocurrency. It also resonates with the Manhattan Project, which, although incomparably high-stakes, was essentially a mission with a specific, non-recurring objective. Unlike ongoing enterprises like NASA, these are contained endeavors with unique goals that are meant to be achieved in a finite timeframe. 

Reid Hoffman, the co-founder of LinkedIn, hinted at this future in his book "The Alliance," discussing the emerging trend of professionals engaging in brief, impactful projects. But the James Bond model adds another layer to this: the appeal of collaboration and exotic settings. People are increasingly interested in doing meaningful work, but they also yearn for the camaraderie and adventure that comes with changing scenery and diverse teams. 

As society evolves and technology connects us in more complex ways, the realm of what's possible expands. The lines between work and adventure, between solitude and collaboration, are blurring. What was once the realm of spies and special agents might just become the future of work for many more of us. And while these missions might not involve chasing villains through glamorous international cities, they hold the promise of fulfilling, exciting work that taps into our deepest ambitions and desires.

[The following was copied and pasted from GPT-4 after I fed it the transcript  of this podcast and asked it to turn it into a 3000 word blog in the style of Morgan Housel https://twitter.com/kikiclavelle/status/1707314115444625494?t=Jh6QVx_eVS8xv9xaYPUq2g&s=19]

An Odyssey of Mindfulness: A Deep Dive into the Conversations of Tim Ferriss and Arthur C. Brooks

In a world where the quest for happiness often leads to transient satisfaction, the conversation between Tim Ferriss and Arthur C. Brooks presents an enticing alley of exploration. Through the twists and turns of personal anecdotes and the gentle sway of philosophical musings, their dialogue invites us on a journey towards a deeper understanding of life’s essence.

The sun had barely cast its early rays when I stumbled upon this transcript, a disussion that promised to traverse the landscapes of happiness, mindfulness, and the symbiotic connection between the corporeal and the ethereal. With a steaming cup of coffee in hand, I delved into the world where eastern philosophy meets western pragmatism.

The narrative unfolds with Arthur Brooks, a man of contemplative nature, reflecting on the realm of desires. He talks about a subtle yet profound practice—writing down one's ambitions and revisiting them, a practice aimed at taming the wild horses of desires that often gallop unbridled in the meadows of our minds. His mention of the Dalai Lama's teachings of “intention without attachment” resonates with the harmonious chords of eastern wisdom. It’s a tune that invites us to dance but not get lost in the rhythm of worldly pursuits.

As the morning sun climbed higher, casting a gentle glow on the room, the discussion transitioned to the serene teachings of Thích Nhất Hạnh. Brooks recounts how this venerable monk’s insights on mindfulness and detachment paved the way for a deeper understanding of his own Catholic practices. The narrative takes a tranquil trail into the woods of contemplation, where the leaves of mindfulness rustle with the breeze of prayer, offering a peaceful sanctuary from the chaos of the mundane.

The journey doesn’t just hover in the ethereal; it gracefully descends into the corporeal realm where the conversation steers towards physical fitness. Arthur shares his foray into occlusion training, a testament to the age-old adage - a healthy body harbors a healthy mind. The narrative flexes its muscles, showcasing the symbiotic relationship between physical vigor and mental tranquility.

With a subtle shift, the dialogue ventures into the intimate alleys of interpersonal relationships. The imagery of couples praying together, sharing a moment of divine communion amidst the earthly journey, paints a picture of profound intimacy.

As the day unfolded, the shadows growing longer with the setting sun, the narrative of Ferriss and Brooks left a lingering essence of introspection. The meld of personal experiences with age-old wisdom offered a compass to navigate the labyrinth of life, towards a center of serene understanding.

The voyage through this transcript wasn’t just a passive sail across words, but an active engagement with ideas that beckon a deeper delve into the essence of existence. It was a day spent in the company of sagacious minds, a day that promised the dawn of contemplative explorations.

As I closed the tab, the room seemed to resonate with the echoes of the profound dialogue, a symphony that promised to play in the corners of the mind, long after.

Image prompt: the engine and the road, killer slasher childrens book, Pastel Art, Signage, 2D, Pentagon

[The following was copied and pasted from GPT-4 after I fed it a transcript of a 3 minute ramble I had recorded while walking just now and asked it to turn it into a 3000 word blog in the style of Morgan Housel]

The Engine and The Road: Rethinking Sustainability

Imagine yourself as a meticulously designed engine built for the long haul. The purpose of this engine? To move. To generate momentum. To carry yourself and others forward, through your career, your passion, or your day-to-day life. But now think: What happens when you floor this engine without any breaks? The answer may sound simple—burnout. But let's dissect this further, especially when some believe that an engine's worth is in how hard it can be pushed.

The Multiple Facets of Sustainability

Sustainability has become a catchphrase. From eco-friendly products to stable economies, it seems everyone is searching for the sustainable option. Yet, when it comes to personal sustainability, the narrative often takes a back seat. What do I mean by personal sustainability? It's your ability to perform your job or pursue your passion in a manner that doesn't deplete you to the point of quitting or, worse, losing your sense of self.

The Startup Conundrum: Scale vs. Effort

In the startup ecosystem, there's a fascinating paradox. Early on, you're told to "Do things that don't scale," to go that extra mile for every client. While this approach is good to get you off the ground, it doesn't serve you well when you're trying to reach cruising altitude. You need to shift gears. You can't keep running an entire company like you did when you were a team of five.

Now, let's address the elephant in the room. Some people would argue that to succeed, you have to constantly operate at full throttle. After all, didn't all those overnight successes we hear about work 100-hour weeks? The answer is more complicated than a simple yes or no. While it's true that effort is a significant contributor to success, continual 100-hour weeks present a skewed form of sustainability that may not work for everyone.

The Teacher's Tale: An Unsustainability Story

Let's take a deep dive into the world of teaching—a profession that's often cited as a 'labor of love.' Teachers indeed carry an enormous load. It's not just about imparting knowledge but also grading, mentoring, and sometimes, playing the role of a parent, counselor, and friend.

Now, there's a view that if you truly love what you're doing, you'd put in all the hours needed to be excellent at it. Quitting or even taking a break would be tantamount to betrayal or failure. But here's the thing: even passion needs to be sustainable. Teachers are humans, not inexhaustible resources. And if you push human resources to their limits, there are costs—drop in quality, health issues, or even leaving the profession altogether.

The Art of Saying No

In a world that's obsessed with the hustle, saying "no" is almost sacrilegious. But here's another perspective. Saying "no" to tasks that you can't do well or can't manage isn't a sign of laziness; it's a sign of specialization. Every "yes" you give has a hidden cost, often paid for by robbing time and energy from other tasks you should be focusing on.

The Equation of Sustainability: A Revisit

In the original post, the equation for sustainability was simple: keep your energy input greater than or equal to your energy output. But for those who believe in "put your head down and shut up and work," this equation looks incomplete. For them, running on a deficit is not necessarily a bad thing; it's an investment in future success.

This argument holds some weight. Yes, investments often require you to put in more than you get out. But every good investor also knows that diversified portfolios are less risky. In the context of personal sustainability, diversifying could mean learning to balance different aspects of your life—work, family, health, and personal growth. An all-in investment in just one of these aspects could be the equivalent of putting all your eggs in one basket.

Adaptive Strategies for Sustainable Living

Adaptation is key. What works today might not work tomorrow. Similarly, the level of energy you can output today might not be the same a year from now. This holds true even if you are of the mindset that hard work trumps all. Circumstances change, both externally and internally. Adapting to these changes doesn't mean you're giving up; it means you're smart enough to modify your strategy for long-term success.

The Ripple Effect

Finally, let's acknowledge the widespread implications of personal sustainability. When a teacher burns out, it's not just a personal loss; it's a societal loss. Similarly, when a startup founder faces burnout, the repercussions aren't limited to them; it affects the employees, investors, and even the industry to some extent.

Concluding Thoughts

Personal sustainability is not about avoiding work; it's about intelligently managing your energy so that you can work better, for longer. It's not an excuse to slack off but a strategy to enable growth—both personal and for those who depend on you. So the next time you're asked to go the extra mile, think carefully. Assess the cost and decide whether it's a sprint you can afford, keeping in mind that life is not a sprint; it's a marathon.

[The following was copied and pasted from GPT-4 after I fed it a transcript of a 3 minute ramble I had recorded while walking just now and asked it to turn it into a 2000 word blog in the style of Morgan Housel]

What Doesn't Kill You: The Power of Choice and Perspective

We've all heard the saying, "What doesn't kill you makes you stronger." But have you ever stopped to consider what that actually means? And how you have the power to decide whether this phrase applies to your life or not?

The Fork in the Road

Picture life as a road. Things happen. A tire goes flat. The engine stalls. You even crash. The reality is, you can look at that stalled car in two ways. One, it's an obstacle that defines you, cripples you. Or two, it's a challenge, a chance to show your grit and your skill. The choice is yours.

Resilience: Your Built-in Muscle

Think of resilience like a muscle. It's there, part of you, waiting to be used. When life punches you down, your resilience can be the thing that pushes you back up. But it doesn't grow unless you use it. The more you let challenges build you up, the stronger that resilience muscle becomes. You're not just surviving; you're thriving.

The 3D Model of Life

Here's another trick. Ever tried looking at a situation from multiple angles? Different viewpoints give you a fuller picture, a 3D model of what you're dealing with. It's like piecing together a puzzle. The more perspectives you consider, the clearer the overall image becomes.

Spatial Awareness: More Than Just Where You Stand

Let's get deeper. Spatial awareness isn't just about knowing where you are; it's about understanding your relationship with everything around you. It's a different kind of sense, one that feeds your mind, not just your eyes or ears. 

Knowing where you stand in relation to your challenges gives you power. It helps you grasp the situation at hand and act with intention, not just react out of emotion. 

Storytelling and The Human Connection

When you can understand your situation deeply, you can also talk about it more effectively. Telling your story isn't just about saying what happened; it's about making other people feel what you felt. By connecting with others, your story doesn't just become a tale of survival; it turns into a beacon of hope and strength for everyone who hears it.

The Art of Reframing

The skill to reframe your challenges is perhaps the most liberating. What if the worst day of your life was actually the best day of your life, just in disguise? Reframing doesn't mean pretending something bad is good. It means finding the good that can come out of something bad.

Your Choice, Your Power

The beauty is, you get to choose. You decide if a hurdle is a stop sign or a stepping stone. You choose whether to be a victim of your circumstances or a master of your fate. And with that choice, you don't just change your life; you also inspire change in the lives of those around you.

Conclusion: Own Your Journey

So yes, what doesn't kill you can make you stronger, but only if you let it. It can teach you resilience, offer you a fuller understanding of life, and even turn you into a storyteller who inspires others. All it takes is the courage to choose, the wisdom to see, and the will to move forward. 

Life doesn't come with a manual, but it does offer choices. How you respond to what happens to you could be your most significant decision. So choose wisely. Because what doesn't kill you doesn't just make you stronger; it makes you wiser, more aware, and, most importantly, more human.

Choose to be strong. Choose to be wise. Choose to own your journey, no matter how twisted the road may be. And remember, it's not just about surviving; it's about thriving.